Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 51.332770 60.186970 69.832629 81.085142 93.814310 107.729443 124.052680
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 38.409060 50.350957 64.557439 82.545954 104.544127 130.389901 162.856889
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 27.956203 40.242870 55.958430 77.205447 104.810759 139.064336 184.327772
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 23.527956 36.545223 54.190329 79.300512 113.472141 157.645223 218.235215
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 19.383644 32.352227 50.909090 78.583314 117.843191 170.461798 245.018954
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 17.706215 31.367316 51.801222 83.445833 129.842115 193.807515 286.745907
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 14.119321 26.814882 46.800739 79.104149 128.243068 198.135550 302.507171
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.720767 25.553849 46.597081 81.771129 136.824312 217.019764 339.289715
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.046536 25.405223 48.089992 87.101412 149.635765 242.549588 386.652281
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 10.938757 24.294522 47.826265 89.510619 157.994226 261.826335 425.679618
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.814942 22.967771 47.011908 90.867405 164.670820 278.781865 461.884427
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.448221 20.936266 44.697258 89.416200 166.616124 288.462506 487.411920
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.344418 19.391448 43.337378 89.951982 172.639464 306.014305 527.796326
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.454752 18.161737 42.462270 91.354458 180.387439 327.016498 575.101595
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.001822 15.313511 37.966079 85.520582 175.052824 326.412657 588.099733
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.493049 14.614397 37.757648 87.800232 184.200686 350.100501 641.147597
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.821143 13.333578 36.105782 87.019093 187.641913 364.262162 679.145063
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.653218 13.378224 37.396103 92.311864 202.708793 399.027104 752.745034
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.892075 11.532088 34.058800 87.586204 198.351481 399.701669 768.967638
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.657635 11.205332 34.285402 90.489461 208.935374 427.228370 831.999796
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.585240 11.380344 35.773045 96.288103 225.582395 466.333643 916.428530
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.368143 11.019861 35.848177 98.907390 235.978384 494.509532 982.803240
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.126144 10.505749 35.446196 100.382062 244.105338 518.837902 1043.258523